Twinkle 31 / Brainstorming scenario
Super for housing: compare the whole life, not just the deposit
Publish a transparent household comparison before supporting a super-for-housing scheme. Test retirement money, housing security and market effects together, including people with too little super to benefit.
Taking money from super changes both the housing path and retirement path. A transparent model could compare the whole household outcome with supply, tenure and shared-ownership alternatives.
Explore the connected work
- Mutual Futures: capital - Explore purchase, operating reserves and upgrades, with a browser-based comparison using your own assumptions. Source repository
- Mutual Futures - A connected proposal for productive ownership, paid livelihoods, learning, care and freedom over time. Source repository
- Relevance: Australian law - The source-led method for following legal threads and understanding how laws touch an ordinary life. Source repository
How it could work
- Compare no withdrawal, withdrawal, collateral and shared equity using the same household, home and time period.
- Account for mortgage interest, rent, maintenance, transaction costs, retained super and downside cases; show every assumption.
- Use results to favour measures that improve secure access without simply increasing bids for the same homes.
Everyday example
Illustration only: $20,000 retained at an assumed 5% annual return becomes about $53,066 in 20 years before fees and tax. A housing path must count rent avoided and all home costs too; that figure alone does not decide it.
Who could act and how it could be funded
Super rules require Commonwealth action; states can deliver supply and tenure alternatives. An independent comparison needs modelling and review funding; public support and price effects must be budgeted separately.
Fair-go safeguards
Illustrative assumptions are not forecasts or personal advice. No guaranteed return or house-price claim. Include renters and households with small balances, and publish losses as well as gains.
What would show progress
Secure access across income groups; retirement position; total housing cost; supply added; sensitivity to downside assumptions.
